Rising Rent & Utility Costs vs. Home Values

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Last month, Jason Barlow of Arbor Financial Group sent an interesting newsletter about the rising costs of utilities and rent and how all of that affects home values. I wanted to share some of that information with you here (and add my own takes).

Right now, rent and utilities are outpacing home values for the first time in a decade. Last year, rent increased 3.8% while home values only grew 1.8%. Nearly half of renters are spending 30% or more on their income on housing. And minority households are facing the highest burden, with Black renters at 56%.

Those figures are certainly something to keep in mind if you’re deciding between buying and renting. Here is an article from The Washington Post that lays out all this information in more detail. As a realtor, I find incredible value in homeownership (if only as a form of long-term investment that can create generational wealth for your family). But I understand the markets and economy fluctuate, taking these rent and utility costs with them.

Kristin’s take: Right now, if you have been on the fence in buying a home or an investment home, I think is a great time to get into the housing market. We still have low inventory, however we have seen price reductions. In this graph many of the lenders are anticipating rates to fall next year (see graph above). Get in now, before everybody gets into the market – marry the house, date the rate – then refi when rates start to go down. You most likely will get a lower price now than when rates go down.

2015 Market Outlook – One Quick Perspective

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The housing market continues to recover and home values are predicted to continue to rise, but at a slower pace.

Zillow forecast calls for a 2.4 percent appreciation for 2015 for the nation, which is less than half the appreciation rate seen for 2014.

As we in the Bay Area know, our market operates a little differently than the rest of the country.  However, we too will most likely see a slower pace which will help bring more balance to the market, as more previously sidelined sellers decide to list their homes, and more buyers enter the market – particularly younger buyers. These buyers will find themselves with more leverage in the market, after years in which sellers largely held the upper hand in negotiations.

We tend to have multiple offers when the inventory is low.  Last year, the buyers were out in full force the first week of January and it took the sellers until March to get on the market for the “spring selling spree” whens buyers got a little relief from the 30% price increases they saw the first quarter.  From all indications, Kristin forecasts this year sellers will get a jump on listing sooner and it will create a more balanced real estate market.  Those who list in the first couple of weeks of January will most likely see the most offers and get to choose the strongest buyer.  Here is to 2015!

~Kristin

When observed calmly, all things have their fulfillment.”  Basho Matsuo